NBA Fast Break Run 1 | Day 4

Fast BreakStandardNBA TopShotNBARun 12024-2025 NBA Season
Written By Witty

Pick 5 Players who will combine for 15 Three Pointers Made and 30 Rebounds to earn your win.

Overview:

We are officially at the quarter mark of this Fast Break run and Day 3 was a good day for 75% of Fast Break participants as wins were plentiful. In reviewing the Run Leaderboard, it is worth noting that the overall rankings are not based on wins primarily, but instead average position per day. If you look at your own standing, you’ll see some participants with more wins sitting behind others with less wins, but higher average position, which is a subtle change. With that said, you’ll want to balance wins (for the win-based rewards) while maintaining a high average position finish.

In total, there are a little under 6,800 participants, which is approaching the all-time high set in last season’s Fast Break and over 2,600 participants have already set their lineup. If you need help mapping out the remainder of your run, I would highly recommend the OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner as it will take into account your collection. Although this does not set your lineups on TopShot directly, it will offer a tentative blueprint for how you will tackle the remainder of this series.

If you are one of the 4,000 winners on Day 3, let’s keep the momentum going and get another. If you were one the 25% who happen to fall short on Day 3, let’s change your fortunes.

Today’s Objective(s):

Fast Break Day 3 requires five (5) players who will sink 15 or more Three Pointers and accumulate 30 or more Rebounds, which means your lineup will need an average of 3.0 3PM and 6.0 REB per player. There are twenty (20) teams are in action, so you have a large pool of players to choose from, but few players are proficient in both categories. Your best approach is to utilize players who can deliver a high volume of one stat over the other and hope they live up to their expectation and projections.

Steph Curry and Trae Young will be popular players to fill the need on the 3PM side based on their historical output from outside and someone like Andre Drummond will be a popular pick on the REB side given his 12.4 rebounds/game career average and his 13 rebounds in the season opener - especially with Embiid sidelined as it was confirmed he would play in the first three (3) games of the season. Whether you’re going for wins or for the top prizes, you don’t necessarily need to blow today’s objectives out of the water, but ensuring you have enough firepower to crest the thresholds will be important.

  • Little of Both: Lauri Markkanen, LaMelo Ball

  • Outside Snipers: Stephen Curry, Trae Young

  • Board Crashers: Andre Drummond, Anthony Davis, Jalen Duren, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jusuf Nurkic, Deandre Ayton, Jarrett Allen, Nikola Vucevic, Josh Hart, Karl-Anthony Towns, Evan Mobley, Walker Kessler, Nic Claxton, Jalen Johnson

  • Top Five (5) in Lineups: Damian Lillard (40%), Lauri Markkenen (40%), Karl-Anthony Towns (34%), Steph Curry (29%), LaMelo Ball (28%)

Upcoming Objective(s):

  • Tomorrow, there will be twenty (20) teams in action and the objective will require 40 Points in the Paint & 25 Assists

  • Remaining objectives (after today):

    • 2x: PTS, AST, FTM

    • 1x: PIP, STL, OREB, AST-TO, BLK, FGM, 3PM, REB

Considerations:

  • Least number of games remaining (4): Dallas, Miami, Minnesota, New York, Philadelphia & Washington

  • Most number of games remaining (6): Cleveland, Memphis, Portland & Toronto

  • Least number of teams in action (8): Day 8 & 10 (least options; less flexibility)

  • Most number of teams in action (22): Day 7 & 9 (most options; high flexibility)

  • Second most number of teams in action (20): Day 5 & 12 (more options; high flexibility)

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected Three Pointers Made & Rebounds according to Rotowire, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, season projections, and ranks amongst peers for each objective. Last 10 and season averages will be incorporated as the season progresses. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull and/or no moments available.

Rewards:

  • Daily Reward: Top 50 each day will receive a pack

  • Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack

  • Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall

    • Rank 1: Two (2) court side seats to an NBA game

    • Rank 2-500: Spendable credit at varying values

Additional Resources:

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire, 2024.

Projected Three Pointers Made

Projected Rebounds

Projected 3PM & REB

NBA Fast Break Grid

Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10-15)? Join TOME+

Support us by:

  • Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis

  • Following us on Twitter/X: @TheTomeSociety and @WittyCollector

  • Joining TOME+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits

Aren’t able to pay a monthly fee? Currently, there is a promotion available for a one (1) month subscription in exchange for any one (1) NBA Rare moment sent to TS: TomeSociety. This promotion ends on October 31, 2024.

Witty
Previous

NBA Fast Break Run 1 | Day 5
Next

NBA Fast Break Run 1 | Day 3