NBA Fast Break Run 3 | Day 2

Fast BreakStandardNBA TopShotNBA2024-2025 NBA SeasonRun 3
Written By Witty

Pick 5 Players who will combine for 130 Points Scored to earn your win.

Overview:

Run 3 started off with a sputter as Sabonis was initially included in over 80% of lineups, but ended up being a late scratch which had some participants scrambling. Considering 40% of lineups still had him in their lineups by the end of the night, you can see why only 37% of the over 5,000 participants secured the coveted win. Giannis led the way with 12 assists & 15 rebounds (providing almost 50% of both stats), followed by RJ Barrett with 15 assists & 10 rebounds, and Jayson Tatum with 9 assists & 11 rebounds. Without Wemby (who was also an unexpected scratch), Chris Paul struggled to reach the projected assists (3 assists) which hurt the 51% who started him. Lastly, LeBron had four consecutive triple-doubles where he averaged 12.0 rebounds & 13.8 assists…only to deliver 7 rebounds & 5 assists yesterday.

The next three days of Fast Break Run 3 will only have one objective needed per day, so the path to a win is more straightforward which allows for a higher probability for wins. With 20 teams in action today, you also have more options to choose from but you don’t have much room for error on a points scored night.

If you earned a win on Day 1, you’re ahead of the curve. If you were one of the 63% who didn’t, let’s turn it around for Day 2. Our “Common Challenge” is also filled out, which you can follow along to see how we do using a player only once (regardless of whether we have a rare or not). We’ve been asked whether we could set up something where you can participate, so that’s something we may explore in the future. In the meantime, check back to see how we do (last run we won 8 of 12 days).

Today’s Objective(s):

Fast Break Day 2 requires five (5) players who will score 130 or more Points, which means your lineup will need an average of 26.0 PTS per player.

  • Walking Buckets: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luka Doncic

  • Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: A. Edwards (81%), SGA (77%), J. Brunson (60%), L. Ball (50%), C. Thomas (30%)

Upcoming Objective(s):

  • Tomorrow, 15 three pointers made will be the single objective with 16 teams in action

  • Objectives after Today:

    • 3x: 3PM

    • 2x: AST, PTS

    • 1x: FGM, PIP, OREB, FGA, FTM, BLK, STL, AST-TO, REB

Considerations:

  • Teams with the most number of games remaining (7): Chicago, Houston, Indiana, LA Clippers, & Utah

  • Teams with the least number of games remaining (4): Boston

  • Dallas & Utah are playing the tail end of a back-to-back

  • Day 6 has the least number of teams in action (8)

  • Day 12 have 20 or more teams in action

  • Day 11 is the always volatile and difficult to predict Assists minus Turnovers objective

  • Five of the twelve days have a single objective, which are more straightforward

  • There are no 150 Points Scored days, but 130 Points Scored are needed on Day 7 & 12

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected Points Scored according to Rotowire, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.

Rewards:

  • Daily Reward: Top 50 each day will receive a Fast Break Rookie Debut pack

  • Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack

    • 3 wins: One (1) Grail Hunter pack

    • 6 wins: Three (3) Grail Hunter packs

    • 9 wins: Fast Break pack

  • Run Reward: Place in the top 200 overall

    • Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to the NBA Cup Finals in Las Vegas including airfare and hotel

    • Rank 2-200: Spendable credit at varying values

Additional Resources:

Tome Society’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):

Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.

Starting Run 3 with the dreaded one point loss. We swapped out Sabonis for RJ Barrett, which turned out to be a fruitful decision, but Wemby being out led to Chris Paul being lackluster in the Assists department. AD & LBJ were below their average and projections, too. Oh well, onward to Day 2 where we hope to turn it around.

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire, 2024.

Projected Points Scored

Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+

NBA Fast Break Grid

Support us by:

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  • Joining TOME+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits

Aren’t able to pay a monthly fee? Currently, there is a promotion available for a one (1) month subscription in exchange for any one (1) WNBA or NBA Rare moment sent to TS: TomeSociety. This promotion ends on November 30, 2024.

Witty
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NBA Fast Break Run 3 | Day 1