NBA Fast Break Run 3 | Day 3

Fast BreakStandardNBA TopShotNBA2024-2025 NBA SeasonRun 3
Written By Witty

Pick 5 Players who will combine for 15 Three Pointers Made to earn your win.

Overview:

Day 1 of Run 3 had 37% winners and Day 2 continues that trend as only 25% of participants walked away with a win. Joker & Luka were ruled out, so Cam Thomas, Jalen Brunson, Devin Booker, Kyrie Irving, & Trae Young were common replacements. The first two did not pan out considering Cam provided 16 points whereas Brunson landed at 12 points, but Booker delivered 40+ and Kyrie/Trae delivered 20+ apiece. Any one player could have derailed your day and Day 3 is no different considering the 15 three pointers needed to earn the win.

Three Pointers are relatively easy to come by considering the focus on that shot throughout the league, but you’ll want to utilize players who have a tendency to take a lot of 3s per game. For players like Steph Curry and Tyler Herro, they fit that mold. Based on how Day 1 & 2 have gone, there are no assurances so you’ll want to fill your roster with reliable three point shooters. Let’s dive into the day’s projections.

Today’s Objective(s):

Fast Break Day 3 requires five (5) players who will make 15 or more Three Pointers, which means your lineup will need an average of 3.0 3PM per player. Today has a single objective, so it’s straightforward but it doesn’t necessarily mean it is easier. The cream of the crop is Steph Curry and although he’s no guarantee, he along with Herro & Ice Trae have shot a high volume of three pointers and maintains a healthy level of accuracy.

  • Outside Snipers: Stephen Curry, Tyler Herro, Trae Young

  • Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: T. Herro (73%), S. Curry (69%), B. Hield (63%), J. Poole (59%), N. Powell (54%)

Upcoming Objective(s):

  • Tomorrow, 40 field goals made will be the single objective with 12 teams in action

  • Objectives after Today:

    • 2x: AST, PTS, 3PM

    • 1x: FGM, PIP, OREB, FGA, FTM, BLK, STL, AST-TO, REB

Considerations:

  • Teams with the most number of games remaining (6): Chicago, Golden State, Houston, Indiana, LA Clippers, & Orlando

  • Teams with the least number of games remaining (4): Boston, Cleveland, Miami, Minnesota, Oklahoma City, & Phoenix

  • Ten (10) teams today are playing the tail end of a back-to-back

  • Day 6 has the least number of teams in action (8)

  • Day 12 have 20 or more teams in action

  • Day 11 is the always volatile and difficult to predict Assists minus Turnovers objective

  • Five of the twelve days have a single objective, which are more straightforward

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected Three Pointers Made according to Rotowire, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.

Rewards:

  • Daily Reward: Top 50 each day will receive a Fast Break Rookie Debut pack

  • Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack

    • 3 wins: One (1) Grail Hunter pack

    • 6 wins: Three (3) Grail Hunter packs

    • 9 wins: Fast Break pack

  • Run Reward: Place in the top 200 overall

    • Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to the NBA Cup Finals in Las Vegas including airfare and hotel

    • Rank 2-200: Spendable credit at varying values

Additional Resources:

Tome Society’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):

Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.

That’s two losses on Run 3 and Day 2 was self-inflicted. I had Booker in my lineup…but I didn’t set my lineup before the first game where Phoenix was playing Minnesota. With Joker & Luka both out also, we went with Norman Powell, who did not crest 20 points. Breaking the losing streak on Day 3.

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire, 2024.

Projected Three Pointers Made

Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+

NBA Fast Break Grid

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Witty
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