NBA Fast Break Run 3 | Day 4
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 40 Field Goals Made to earn your win.
Overview:
The Fast Break Run 3 trend continues as players who historically excel in certain stat categories have off-nights when it counts. The playbook for success has been avoiding these landmines as they have proven their ability to sink lineups. The Fast Break Dud of Day Award belongs to Tyler Herro who was used in 67% of lineups, but only produced two (2) three pointers after dropping seven (7) the previous night. Honorable mention goes to Trae Young who had an outstanding day distributing the ball (19 assists), but fell well short of yesterday’s objective where he contributed zero three pointers after making five on Nov. 17th and four the game before. Zach LaVine, Coby White, Norman Powell, and/or Steph Curry saved the day for many participants, resulting in 56% winners which is the highest percentage of this run (so far).
Of the 6,700+ participants, we are already down to 360 who are a perfect 3 of 3 and they have earned their first Grail Seeker pack (low ask $5 in the marketplace). Once you reach six (6) wins, you’ll earn three (3) more Grail Seeker packs which would be a $20 value if you flipped. With nine (9) days remaining, the top pack reward is still within reach even if you have no wins under your belt, but it is a steep hill to climb considering the upcoming objectives (but not impossible). Let’s dive into today’s projections and top player options.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 4 requires five (5) players who will make 40 or more Field Goals, which means your lineup will need an average of 8.0 FGM per player. Today has a single objective and although it is straightforward, you’ll need to treat today like you would on points scored days considering two and three pointers are treated the same. High volume shooters who have decent accuracy will rule the day with an advantage to players who have a tendency to score from the paint.
Based on last 10 games, Joker, Anthony Davis, and LaMelo Ball are your top three options. Based on Rotowire projections, SGA, Luka, and Joker are your top three options. If you’re planning to use Joker or Luka, be sure to check the injury report as both sat out their previous game.
Bucket Getters: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic, Luka Doncic, Anthony Davis, LaMelo Ball
Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: A. Davis (74%), B. Ingram (53%), K. Irving (51%), J. Tatum (47%), J. Brown (44%)
Upcoming Objective(s):
Tomorrow, 45 points in the paint and 10 offensive rebounds will be the objectives and 16 teams are in action
Objectives after Today:
2x: AST, PTS, 3PM
1x: PIP, OREB, FGA, FTM, BLK, STL, AST-TO, REB
Considerations:
Teams with the most number of games remaining (5): 16 Teams
Teams with the least number of games remaining (3): Miami & Phoenix
No teams today are playing the tail end of a back-to-back
Day 6 has the least number of teams in action (8)
Day 12 have 20 or more teams in action
Day 11 is the always volatile and difficult to predict Assists minus Turnovers objective
Six of the remaining eight days have two objectives
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected Field Goals Made according to Rotowire, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 50 each day will receive a Fast Break Rookie Debut pack
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack
3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
6 wins: Three (3) Grail Seeker packs
9 wins: Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 200 overall
Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to the NBA Cup Finals in Las Vegas including airfare and hotel
Rank 2-200: Spendable credit at varying values
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
TOME+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
TOME+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 11/12/2024)
Tome Society’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
First win of Run 3! Zach LaVine & Coby White led the way and helped us break the losing streak. Onward to Day 4 where we look for our second dub.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire, 2024.
Projected Field Goals Made
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
NBA Fast Break Grid
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