NBA Fast Break Run 2 | Day 9
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 130 Points Scored to earn your win.
Overview:
With about 90% of Fast Break participants earning a win on Day 8, it was easily the most successful day of this run and may be the momentum shift many will need to close out this series. So long as you have at least five (5) wins, you still have a chance at securing the top pack reward. With today’s objective focused on points (but not as many points as Day 2), it feels like the win is within reach…so long as your lineup shows up. With 11 games on today’s slate, you won’t be short on player options to choose from, but the number of true scorers are limited and your lineup options likely depends on how well you planned ahead. This will be the last time points are measured during this run, so be sure to include reliable scoring options in your lineup today.
Although Karl-Anthony Towns is projected to score about 22 points and has averaged 25 points on the season, he has scored over 30 points in three straight games so recency bias explains why he is the most heavily utilized in lineups today. On the other hand, Giannis is projected to be the highest scorer of the day and has exceeded 30 points in 6 of his first 9 games whereas his counterpart Damian Lillard has exceeded 25 points in 6 of his last 10 games, but it is worth noting that he has had two straight games where he did not crest 20 points. In the past 10 games, Jayson Tatum has exceeded 25 points in 9 of 10 games, LaMelo in 8 of 10, Luka in 7 of 10, Ant in 4 of 10, and Brunson in 4 of 10.With Kevin Durant sidelined for the next two weeks, Devin Booker is projected to have a high scoring day, but he has exceeded 25 points only 3 of 10 times this season. Lastly, Curry, Embiid, & Jaylen Brown have the capability to deliver a high scoring day, but they are less predictable considering their recent injuries (Embiid is expected to make his season debut today).
If you include many of the players above, you’ll want each to at least stay close to the 26.0 points scored threshold (but ideally much higher). If, however, you have a player who has an awful shooting day (or sits for an extended amount of time due to a blowout), it could sink your chances at a win today unless they are balanced out by high scoring performance. It may be another borderline day where you could sneak over the line or fall a hair shy (again), so buckle up and stay tuned. Based on the way this run has gone, I doubt we’ll see another 90% win day, but it’ll be great if it happens. Either way, maximize your win potential by setting a strong lineup filled with reliable scorers.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 9 requires five (5) players who will score 130 or more Points, which means your lineup will need an average of 26.0 PTS per player. There are 22 teams in action today so your options are broad, but the list of players who are projected to exceed this number is relatively limited, which will also vary based on your collection.
Walking Buckets: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Luka Doncic, Jayson Tatum
Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: KAT (42%), D. Lillard (41%), G. Antetokounmpo (39%), A. Edwards (37%), J. Brunson (33%)
Upcoming Objective(s):
Tomorrow, 25 Fouls Drawn & 25 Free Throws Made are needed and there are 22 teams in action
After today, here are the remaining objectives: Fouls Drawn, 3PA, FTM, 3PM, FGM, AST
Considerations:
Today is Charlotte’s last game of this run
No teams playing today were in action yesterday
Least number of games remaining (1): Charlotte & Denver
Most number of games remaining (3): Detroit, Minnesota, New York, Orlando, Philadelphia, & Phoenix
Day 11 only has two teams in action (DAL & UTA) - their last game of this run
Boston, Milwaukee, & Portland’s last game of this run will take place on Day 10
Day 11 all have less than or equal to 10 teams in action
Day 10, & 12 all have 20 or more teams in action
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected Points Scored according to Rotowire, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. Although 10 games have not been played, all teams have played between 8-11 games so the sample size is relevant. As the season progresses, true Last 10 will be incorporated. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are also provided. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 50 each day will receive a pack
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 200 overall
Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to an NBA game including airfare and hotel
Rank 2-200: Spendable credit at varying values
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
TOME+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
TOME+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 11/06/2024)
Tome Society’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Day 8 ended with our 7th win and we only need two wins in the remaining four days to earn the top pack. The stretch goal is within reach!
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire, 2024.
Projected Points Scored
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join TOME+
NBA Fast Break Grid
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